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Meta Platforms, Inc. (META)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 revenue grew 21% year over year to $48.39B, up from $40.59B in Q3, with operating margin expanding to 48% (from 43% in Q3) and diluted EPS of $8.02; results benefited from ad pricing strength and a $1.55B reduction in legal accruals that lowered G&A expense .
- CFO guided Q1 2025 revenue to $39.5–$41.8B (8–15% y/y; ~3% FX headwind) and initiated FY 2025 expense guidance of $114–$119B and CapEx of $60–$65B, including a server useful life extension to 5.5 years that lowers 2025 depreciation by ~$2.9B .
- Ads engine momentum continued: ad impressions +6% y/y and average price per ad +14% y/y; management cited new ML system “Andromeda” (10,000x model complexity for retrieval) driving an 8% improvement in ad quality on tested objectives and Advantage+ Shopping surpassing a $20B annual run-rate (+70% y/y) .
- Reality Labs delivered $1.08B in Q4 revenue (holiday hardware) but posted a $5.0B operating loss; management reiterated long-term AR/VR and AI glasses priorities even as 2025 CapEx accelerates materially .
- Estimate comparison: S&P Global consensus was temporarily unavailable at time of analysis; as a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses versus Street for Q4. We attempted to retrieve estimates from S&P Global but access was unavailable at the time. Values would be retrieved from S&P Global when available.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Operating leverage and EPS strength: Operating margin expanded to 48% and net income rose 49% y/y to $20.84B; diluted EPS increased 50% to $8.02, supported by strong ad pricing and a $1.55B reduction in legal accruals that lowered G&A .
- Ads performance and tooling: Average price per ad rose 14% y/y and Andromeda unlocked a 10,000x increase in retrieval model complexity, driving an 8% improvement in ad quality on tested objectives; Advantage+ Shopping exceeded a $20B run-rate (+70% y/y) .
- Strategic AI and product scale: CEO sees 2025 as the year a highly personalized AI assistant reaches >1B people; Threads surpassed 320M MAUs with ads testing underway; Meta AI monthly actives >700M (usage scaling) .
What Went Wrong
- Reality Labs losses persist: RL posted a $4.97B operating loss in Q4 despite $1.08B revenue, underscoring heavy investment needs in hardware and ecosystem .
- Higher 2025 spend/CapEx: FY 2025 expense guidance ($114–$119B) and CapEx ($60–$65B) imply materially higher investment intensity; management flagged infra (servers, data centers, networking) as the largest growth driver .
- Regulatory/legal overhang: Company continues to “monitor an active regulatory landscape” in the EU and U.S. that could significantly impact results; 2024 included large legal items (e.g., accrual decreases in Q4) that add noise to expense trendlines .
Financial Results
Meta consolidated results by quarter
Segment breakdown
KPIs and cash/CapEx
Estimate comparison (S&P Global consensus unavailable at time of analysis)
Note: S&P Global consensus data was temporarily inaccessible during analysis; we attempted retrieval but access was unavailable at the time. Consensus figures will be sourced from S&P Global when available.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “This is going to be the year when a highly intelligent and personalized AI assistant reaches more than 1 billion people, and I expect Meta AI to be that leading AI assistant.” – Mark Zuckerberg .
- “These are all big investments, especially the hundreds of billions of dollars that we will invest in AI infrastructure over the long term... almost a gigawatt of capacity this year... building a 2-gigawatt... AI data center.” – Mark Zuckerberg .
- “Andromeda... enabled a 10,000x increase in the complexity of models we use for ads retrieval... driven an 8% increase in the quality of ads that people see on objectives we’ve tested.” – Susan Li .
- “We expect our full year 2025 capital expenses will be in the range of $60 billion to $65 billion... The majority of our CapEx in 2025 will continue to be directed towards our core business.” – Susan Li .
- “We expect... to increase [useful life] to approximately 5.5 years... delivering savings in annual CapEx and resulting depreciation expense, which is already included in our guidance.” – Susan Li .
Q&A Highlights
- Open source strategy and competition: Management believes broader adoption of Llama will standardize ecosystems, drive hardware/software optimization, and reduce costs; recent competitors’ advances will be studied and incorporated where appropriate .
- Meta AI monetization timing: Focus in 2025 is on scaling usage; meaningful monetization expected beyond 2025 (paid recommendations/premium potential over time) .
- Custom silicon trajectory: MTIA focused on ranking/recommendation inference in 2024, ramping in 2025; expansion to training workloads next year while maintaining third-party silicon partnerships .
- Ad pricing drivers: Pricing uplift reflects stronger advertiser demand and improved performance; ongoing optimization of ad load across surfaces; Threads ads testing to be gradual and not material in 2025 .
- CapEx supply/constraints: 2025 GPU deployments to ramp significantly; long-run capital intensity remains uncertain given evolving model architectures, inference vs. training mix, and monetization pathways .
Estimates Context
- We attempted to retrieve S&P Global consensus for revenue and EPS to quantify beats/misses, but access was unavailable at the time of analysis. Once accessible, we will anchor all estimate comparisons on S&P Global and update the “vs estimates” table accordingly.
- Directionally, Q4 revenue of $48.39B exceeded the top end of Q3’s $45–$48B guide and EPS was $8.02, but without S&P Global consensus we cannot state beat/miss versus Street at this time . Values will be retrieved from S&P Global when available.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Strong finish to 2024: Revenue accelerated to $48.39B and operating margin to 48%, aided by ad pricing and lower legal accruals; FoA operating income reached $28.33B in Q4 .
- 2025 investment surge: FY25 expenses ($114–$119B) and CapEx ($60–$65B) underscore a multi-year AI infrastructure build-out; useful life extension to 5.5 years lowers 2025 depreciation by ~$2.9B, partially offsetting opex/depr. headwinds .
- Ads engine still compounding: Andromeda and Advantage+ gains suggest further ROAS improvements and CPM support, while Threads ads tests offer optionality beyond 2025 .
- RL remains a drag near term: Q4 RL loss of ~$5B highlights the cost of category creation; holiday revenue seasonality helps but profitability remains distant .
- Q1 2025 guide: $39.5–$41.8B implies healthy y/y growth despite ~3% FX headwind and lapping leap day; sets baseline for 2025 trajectory .
- Dividend signaling: Initiated $0.50 quarterly dividend in Dec-2024 and raised 5% to $0.525 for Q1 2025, reflecting confidence amid heavy AI spend .
- Watch catalysts: Updates on Llama 4, Meta AI scale/engagement, Threads monetization ramp, and infra milestones (GPU deployments, MTIA rollout) could drive sentiment; regulatory headlines remain a swing factor .
All citations: Q4 2024 8-K earnings press release and exhibits , Q4 2024 earnings call transcript , Q3 2024 press release , Q2 2024 press release , dividend announcements .